The most discussed topic in crypto has always been the altseason. This is because of the insane gains that are usually generated during this small period. The Altseason is known to be the primary source of attraction for crypto tourists as it helps onboard noobs into crypto. Today, we will learn about the top 4 indicators to help predict an Altseason in 2025.
What is The Altseason in Crypto?
The Altseason is a phenomenon known in crypto for generating insane profits. This phenomenon happens to altcoins, which are any crypto except for Bitcoin. So think of your Solana, Your BNB, Your SUI etc. When the Altseason happens, all these coins start outperforming Bitcoin on every metric, and their prices soar. Some coins have their prices double in a matter of hours, and some pull 1000% in less than a week.
But all good things come to an end. This is why an Altseason is usually followed by a severe dump that marks the top of the bull market cycle. We see a break in the uptrend, and prices collapse due to the insane selling pressure from whales. When the Altseason happens during a bear market, it is usually known as a relief rally and lasts for a short time. The collapse starts when tokens hit their High Time Frame (HTF) resistance levels. In HTF every candle represents a day, week or month. This is usually known as a bull trap, Capo’s favorite word in crypto.
Lately, the crypto market changed a lot. This is because millions of crypto projects are now in play. This means it will find plenty of projects when capital flows into the market. This could lead to a dilution in the gains and many disappointments by token holders in the upcoming Altseason in 2025. The capital flow usually follows as in the picture below.
Let’s discuss the top indicators.
Four Indicators to Rule The Altseason in 2025
There are four indicators we believe will play a pivotal in the Altseason in 2025:
- Bitcoin dominance
- ETH/BTC
- USDT Dominance
- OTHERS/BTC
Let’s break down each of them one by one.
Why Is BTC.D important?
BTC.D stands for Bitcoin dominance. This indicator is vital in predicting where we are in the market cycle. This is because it measures the share of Bitcoin compared to the entirety of the crypto market. If BTC.D is 61%, Bitcoin controls 61% of the market share in crypto. Hence 61% of liquidity is dedicated solely to Bitcoin. Naturally, this means that currently, this is Bitcoin season and that we should expect Alts to bleed against Bitcoin. There are some exceptions to this case, such as Solana and SUI.
When BTC.D starts breaking down that is a good sign for degends. This is when fun time starts as liquidity moves more into other crypto assets such as Ethereum, blue chips and Altcoins.
Notice how BTC.D has reached significant resistance on the weekly chart. This means that we can expect it to top out between 62–63%. If not, then it will keep grinding up towards 70% before another possibility of topping out. A breakdown below 58% on the daily chart, followed by a retest of 60% and failure to close above could indicate that this chad is topping out.
The blue circle on the chart indicates the 2021 Altseason, where the infamous crypto millionaires were minted.
ETH/BTC The Soothsayer
If you ask any crypto expert, they will tell you ETH/BTC is one of the most important charts to watch out for. As ETH breaks down against BTC, Alts tend to bleed and go through distribution (fancy word for mass selling). However, When ETH picks up momentum against BTC, you can expect an Altseason in 2025.
As we know, ETH is the biggest ecosystem in crypto and has the biggest amount of TVL (total value locked). TVL is to blockchain what deposits are to banks. This is why when it goes up, everything pumps and we see green candles everywhere. Looking at the HTF, you can see that ETH/BTC has been bleeding for a long time. It now faces strong possible support around 0.031, where it can start reversing upwards. This means a possible Altseason could be triggered. ETH/BTC could also reverse from where if it fails to break below 0.033 and closes above 0.04.
Pro Tip: When charting such indicators always use HTF candles like monthly and weekly or at least daily.
USDT.D and Liquidity Flows
USDT.D is the dominance of USDT dollar in the crypto market. Tether issues USDT and we know it is the biggest stablecoin in crypto. This means that whenever buying pressure happens, it will be by converting USDT into various crypto assets.
In general, when USDT.D drops, people get out of it to buy crypto, either Bitcoin or Alts. In times of trouble, people flock to Bitcoin but buy it during Bitcoin season (Remember BTC.D) as its price appreciates. But if you see USDT.D dropping while Alts are increasing, the liquidity flows more into Alts rather than Bitcoin.
There is a chart called OTHERS, which you can find on Tradingview. This chart represents all altcoins except for the blue chips and top 10 projects. If this chart goes up and USDT.D goes down, this is simply an Altseason in 2025.
USDT.D dropping down could also mean investors are cashing out profits or panicking. If you see TOTAL1, the total market cap of crypto, dropping while this indicator drops, it means something terrible is going on.
You want to see this indicator dropping below 4% and closing weekly below to confirm liquidity flowing into crypto assets. If that coincides with BTC.D breaking down, it’s printing time!
OTHERS/BTC The Secret Recipe
We talked about OTHERS and that it is all the altcoins except for the blue chips. An even better chart to check out is the performance of these alts (OTHERS) against Bitcoin. To get this chart on Tradingview, simply open the search bar and type OTHERS/BTC as in the picture. Then look for the circled indicators and press on it.
You will be able to chart the performance of altcoins against Bitcoin. Simply put, Whenever these alts gain momentum against Bitcoin it is an Altseason. Whenever Bitcoin gains momentum, this is Bitcoin season. The best time to buy alts is when they form a HTF bottom against Bitcoin as they do now.
On the contrary, the best time to sell Alts is when they form a top. Such was the case in early 2022.
Thanks for Reading!
I hope you learned something useful today. If you did, don’t forget to give me a follow + join my TG group for further updates on all things crypto.
Remember that nobody can ever predict the top/bottom of the market. The best we can do is launch educated guesses. These indicators help us make these guesses, but we could never get that Altseason everyone is waiting for. Crypto is highly volatile and unpredictable. Never forget that. Remember this is educational content and should never be taken as financial advice.