Crypto investing is 90% waiting and 10% fireworks. You grind through long bear markets, mind-numbing sideways action, and fakeouts that make you question
We might be entering that rare 6–12 month golden window. The one where everyone who was positioned early gets hilariously rich. You don’t want to sleepwalk through this.
Let’s break down why this could be that moment.
Charts Are Flashing Green — Hard
Start with the weekly MACD. Both Bitcoin and Ethereum just confirmed bullish crossovers. Not on the daily — on the weekly. That’s the stuff trend traders dream of. Add to that:
- ETH breaking above its 200-day moving average
- RSI turning bullish (and remember, during true bull runs, RSI can stay overbought for months)
- Bitcoin is floating comfortably above the supertrend line on the weekly chart
- Ethereum is lagging a bit, but starting to catch up
In short, the TA is showing broad market strength. These aren’t weak signals — they’re multi-confirmation indicators that historically precede major uptrends.
The M2 Money Supply Is Expanding Again
Here’s your cheat code: Bitcoin’s price has an 83% correlation with global M2 money supply.
When M2 (aka global liquidity) expands, Bitcoin pumps. It’s not a perfect science, but zoom out and you’ll see it. And right now, M2 is ticking upward again — fast.
The tide is rising, and Bitcoin tends to float with it. And when BTC floats, the rest of the market launches.
Macro Conditions: From Chaos to Calm
April was brutal. Tariff wars. Bond chaos. Global tension. Recession fears. Every doomer had their day.
But now? We’re getting peace talks. Trade deals. Cooling inflation. Positive GDP projections (the Atlanta Fed is even calling for 2.4% growth). Markets have largely priced in the macro madness — and they’re starting to look forward.
All of this sets the stage for:
- A potentially stronger economy
- Liquidity injections instead of tightening
- Reduced volatility and clearer direction
And just in time — because the Bitcoin 4-year halving cycle says it’s go time.
Institutional Fuel Is Pouring In
This isn’t just vibes. There’s real weight behind this rally:
- MicroStrategy keeps buying Bitcoin like it’s oxygen
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs are live and being gobbled up by boomers
- Dozens of altcoin ETFs are likely coming
- Pro-crypto bills are moving through Congress
- Even the SEC seems to be backing off the crypto witch hunt
This level of institutional alignment is something we couldn’t have dreamed of two years ago. The same U.S. government that once promised to “shut crypto down” now wants to be the capital of the crypto world.
That’s not a narrative. That’s a flipping of the script.
How to Play This Right
Don’t let euphoria wreck your strategy. Bull runs reward discipline, not FOMO.
Here’s the playbook:
- Ride the trend. Stop trying to short pullbacks. This is not the time.
- Buy the dips. These aren’t sell signals — they’re entry points.
- Know your targets. Pick the tokens you want. Set limit orders. Keep dry powder ready.
- Have a sell plan. You will need to exit. Don’t roundtrip profits. Start cashing out in tranches.
- Watch macro catalysts. The next Fed meeting is in June — rate cuts could extend this rally further. But if not, be ready for chop.
We might get a local top in July or August — possibly around the 150K BTC level. That’s not gospel, but based on global M2 trends, it’s a valid scenario.
Final Thought
The setup is almost too clean. Weekly technicals are screaming bullish. M2 liquidity is climbing. Macro chaos is fading. Institutions are gobbling up Bitcoin like it’s prime real estate.
You don’t get many of these moments. If you’re not positioned, you’re late. If you are, your job now is to stick to the plan.
The bull run of bull runs might already be underway.
